Rise in interest rates hard to square with data | Bedford NY Real Estate

-
Early this week a spate of poor data started a bond and mortgage rally, but stopped cold today on a very ordinary employment report for May. Ten-year Treasury notes have traded back up to the 2.15 percent high of 2013, mortgages solidly above 4 percent. If the credit markets are going to read news this way, rates are still vulnerable on the upside.
On Monday, the Institute for Supply Management reported that the May manufacturing index tanked to 49 versus the tepid 51 expected, and a drop below 50 has been good for bonds every time since these surveys began in the early 1970s. The ISM has weakened steadily since January 2011. Today’s employment data: 175,000 net-new jobs in May, but hourly earnings and hours at work were flat.
The rise in rates is hard to square with the data. The Fed will pull back from bond buying at some point, but not now, and not soon in a meaningful way. It may reduce its purchases, but they are rising relative to bonds in the market: Treasury borrowing has fallen in half in 18 months, and mortgages outstanding have fallen for six years.


Bedford New York Real Estate | Bedford NY Homes by Robert Paul Realtor » Blog Archive » Rise in interest rates hard to square with data | Bedford NY Real Estate

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Four Regional Banks Discuss Settlement Over Foreclosures | Waccabuc Real Estate

-
Image
U.S. state attorneys general are pressing four banks to accept a legal settlement over botched foreclosures similar to a deal reached with larger competitors this year, according to three people briefed on the matter. U.S. Bancorp (SFBC) , PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) Inc., SunTrust Banks Inc. (STI) and HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA) have held talks with state and federal officials who investigated claims that loan servicers mishandled foreclosure documents, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the talks are private. U.S. Bancorp Said to Join PNC in Talks on Mortgage Settlement Jeff Kowalsky/Bloomberg Mortgage servicers typically handle billing and collections, as well as foreclosures when borrowers fail to pay. Neil Brazil , a spokesman for HSBC’s North America unit, said in an e-mail that the London-based lender has conducted “preliminary discussions with its bank regulators and other
Read more

Top 20 real estate websites in June | Mount Kisco Real Estate

-
Last year, Realtor.com and Yahoo Real Estate battled it out for the top position in the monthly real estate website rankings maintained by Web metrics firm Experian Hitwise . So far this year, Zillow has been king of the hill, having bumped Yahoo Real Estate from the top spot in March. Jockeying for the spots below first place has also been fierce, with Trulia jumping two positions into second place on the Hitwise list in June. Trulia leapfrogged over third-place Realtor.com, bumping Yahoo Real Estate into third place in the process. AOL Real Estate, meanwhile, moved up two positions from May to June, but there were no new websites in the top 10. The Hitwise rankings don't tally mobile app users, an increasingly popular option among consumers conducting listing searches. But they still provide a window into who's winning the battle for eyeballs -- an important consideration for brokers and agents in deciding where to spend their marketing dollars. According to Hitwise, t
Read more